Which is more likely for Shohei Ohtani: A no-hitter or a cycle?

This probably will not shock you: No pitcher has ever hit for the cycle, which means nobody has ever hit for a cycle and thrown a no-hitter. Via the Baseball-Reference Play Index, there have been 44 instances in which a pitcher had a single, double and home run in the same game -- including Don Newcombe four times. The last was Randy Wolf in 2009. There have been 32 instances in which the pitcher missed only the home run, the last of those Danny Darwin in 1987.

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Shohei Ohtani doesn't hit when he pitches (unless he starts an interleague game on the road), but since he hits when he doesn’t pitch, there is…