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How the Astros won a World Series by betting on the ability to predict baseball

Related Topics: Brad Peacock, Predictability

Baseball tells two big stories about itself. The first is a story about utter unpredictability. It's the part about Jose Altuve and Dallas Keuchel and Brad Peacock, and about Jon Singleton and J.D. Martinez and Mark Appel. It's broken-bat singles and the line-drive outs, it's "my s--- doesn't work in the playoffs," it's "Suzyn, you can't predict baseball." It's the 51 times the 2013 Astros somehow managed to beat a better team.

The other big story is about predictability, about how the brutal repetitions of a 162-game season eventually wear down the randomness and reveal true talent.