Oh, April, how you confound.

On one hand, we've endured months of frigid, baseball-free winter. We want so badly to invest in the action. On the other, small-sample illusions abound this time of year.

Here, then, is a look at 10 surprising starts by both players and teams and predictions as to whether they're flukes or for real.

We're basing our takes on stats and projection models, along with a dollop of gut feeling. That said, we could be wrong. The small-sample knife cuts both ways.

Dansby Swanson: Arriving as a Star

Dansby Swanson, the first overall pick in the 2015 amateur draft, underwhelmed in his rookie season last year.