Road games are hard to predict.
Heading into this game Mizzou was just 3-5 in true road games, with wins over Ole Miss, Tennessee, and Wichita State. They hadn’t really lost to anyone who is bad, but they certainly lost badly to more than a few teams. Stinkers on the road against Texas A&M, Auburn, and Mississippi State let you know the Tigers may not be a team you can trust.
Meanwhile Georgia has been really pretty good at home. At 13-2 they hold wins over Kentucky and Auburn, and the two losses were close! The Bulldogs were challenged by coming off two horrific road losses when they got smoked by Alabama and Arkansas.