Give me a Power-5 team’s average Rivals.com national recruiting ranking for the classes of 2012 through 2016 and I have better than a 50-50 shot of coming within two wins of their final 2016 win total. Better yet, I’ve got about a 25-percent chance of telling you within one win.
Based solely on the team’s average Rivals ranking from the five classes that made up its roster last year.
Give me just the team’s average recruiting ranking among its conference mates for those five years, and I have a 62.5-percent shot of coming within two games of its final 2016 record.