If you look at regular season records, there appear to be three remaining NFL teams in the same class — the 49ers, Packers and Chiefs — along with one outlier underdog, the Titans.
But advanced metrics — and the betting odds heavily influenced by those metrics — have instead divided the four conference title game participants into two neat groups of two. The Packers, despite tying for the NFC’s best record at 13-3, are heavy underdogs against the 13-3 49ers — more than a touchdown at 7.5 points.
And Green Bay has a worse chance to win the Super Bowl than the 9-7 Titans in some places you look.