NFL scouts, after spending thousands of hours on their craft and hundreds of hours on a particular set of prospects, are frequently proven wrong.
What chance do you, me or Mel Kiper Jr. have of being right?
I've been writing about NFL drafts since 1990. I once had a Super Bowl-winning general manager give me his personal mock draft. He got every selection wrong, including his own team's, because trades and unexpected picks altered every other team's approach.
We don't know what we don't know, and often those who know far more than us don't know what they don't know.