Official Site of the Vikings · Jan 8, 2016
How Did Computer Projections of Vikings Games Pan Out?
All season long, Vikings.com combed the web for weekly predictions and outside analysis. We included a pair of sites, fivethirtyeight.com and whatifsports.com that use computer simulations to forecast outcomes while minimizing subjectivity.
How did they do?
When fivethirtyeight.com gave the Vikings less than a 50 percent chance to win, Minnesota was 2-3. When the probability was 50 percent, the Vikings went 2-1, and went 7-1 when the likelihood of a win was above 50 percent.
Whatifsports.com didn’t split the rail in half in any preview. The Vikings went 3-1 when the likelihood was projected at less than 50 percent and 8-4 when the projection was above 50 percent.
