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Performance versus projections at the one-third mark

Related Topics: Tom Tango

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How have Brewers players stacked up against preseason projections?

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Michael McLoone-USA TODAY Sports

During the preseason, a reader (forgive me, I forgot who) expressed curiosity about how the Brewers might do compared to what the popular projection systems predicted before the season. With two months of the season and about one-third of the games played so far, I thought I’d check in and compare actual results with projections from Baseball Reference’s basic system (developed by Tom Tango, who fully admits its shortcomings) and two of the more popular projections listed on FanGraphs, Steamer and ZiPS.