We've approached the approximate midway point of the 2021-22 English Premier League season. Despite a rampant run of COVID-19 postponements, nine of 20 teams have now played half of their 38 matches, and others will hit that mark soon enough.
Manchester City were the title favourites at the beginning of the season and remain so. In August, FiveThirtyEight gave City a 40% chance of winning the league, with Liverpool coming in at 21% and the rest of the field at 16% or lower. Now, City (77%) has swallowed up the rest of the field with Liverpool (19%) the only other team higher than 4%.