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2016 Big Ten Tournament Seeding Scenarios: March 1

Bold is an upset (based on the weekend projections); italics indicate a road win.

Northwestern 98, Rutgers 59
Purdue 83, Maryland 79
Michigan State 88, Penn State 57
Ohio State 68, Iowa 64
Wisconsin 68, Michigan 57
Illinois 84, Minnesota 71

No road wins this weekend, and only one surprise (and even that isn't much of one based on current form). Wisconsin now seems almost certain to make the NCAA tournament, and while I think Michigan's still more likely to make it than not, they should by no means feel safe yet. With 11 conference wins, Ohio State seems like they should be in better shape than they are, but only two of those wins are against the top eight in conference; at best they're a fringe candidate right now with plenty of work to do.