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Key Performance Indicators of Winning and Losing Football Games

Over time I’ve tried to predict the data points that determine a football victory or loss and how those can be weighted when looking at a box score. If someone offered me a blind box score of past Miami Hurricanes football games- can I ‘guess’ the winner without knowing the opponent or even the season.

Having looked into every regular season loss of the past two seasons, and a couple of “historical games” for Miami- I’ve concluded that these are the key data points that determine wins and losses (besides the points, duh).

MD% or Money Down %: 3rd and 4th down conversion rates typically indicate success on both sides of the ball.