Most reliable win total projections had the Miami Heat in the low 40s this summer, even after trading for Jimmy Butler. It turns out those projections sorely underrated the supporting cast and never even saw some of them coming. Bam Adebayo has taken a leap, and Kendrick Nunn and Duncan Robinson have been absolute diamonds in the rough, and that’s changed everything.
The Heat are 18-6 through 24 games and have been nearly untouchable at home where they have an 11-0 record. Naturally, we can quite comfortably update our expectations for the team when they’re on a pace well over 50 wins.