We’ll get into a little bit of the blow by blow, but I want to start this recap of Marquette men’s lacrosse’s 15-14 overtime loss to #10 Georgetown with the win probability chart from Lacrosse Reference.
Win ProbabilityQ1Q2Q3Q4OT0%25%50%75%100%
Marquette’s chances of winning this game drifted into the high 60% area in the third quarter. In the fourth, the chances went from somewhere in the 20s to about 60%, then into the high 70s with eight minutes to play. It was in their hands. They just couldn’t close their hands around it.