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College football's post-Week 7 SP+ rankings

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A good power rating is never more antisocial than when a team loses and doesn't really move in the rankings. But when these teams lose road toss-up games to highly rated opposition, it kind of makes sense, doesn't it?

In two of the biggest games of Week 7, Ohio State dropped a last-minute heartbreaker at Oregon, and Ole Miss fell in overtime at LSU. Statistically, these games were almost perfect coin flips. My postgame win expectancy measure -- which takes the key stats from a given game, tosses them into the air and says, "With these stats, you could have expected to win this game X% of the time" -- say that Ohio State would have won 45% of the time and Ole Miss would have won 41% of the time.