Bowl Projections for Louisville after Week 3

Three weeks down and the Cards are already one win away from matching Kenny Payne’s win total at Louisville halfway to being bowl eligible.

After failing to cover Bill Conelly’s SP+’s projected spread, Louisville slipped slightly from #27 to #34. They face SP+’s #83 Boston College this weekend. Here’s the updated SP+ win total expectancy chart:

Looks like this is the Cardinal’s last highly favored game until they face Virginia Tech in November. Also of note, Louisville’s win expectancy against Duke has slipped from the preseason number of 71.