Welcome to the game-by-game process.
Historical consistencies.
If your team is going to win, they must avoid turnovers and penalties. Teams with little if any playoff experience often make these mistakes.
Any team making the playoffs is good enough to win any game, regular season records begone. Every team has to bring their A game. Better teams can’t afford to play sloppy football or get away from what got them to the playoffs in the first place.
The road team is nearly always the underdog. That team then has nothing to lose since they’re not supposed to win anyways.