Find me a player with 2384 yards from scrimmage and 28 touchdowns in a season and I’ll show you an MVP. Don’t think so? Take a look at the last 4 RBs to win an MVP award.
Marshall Faulk (2000): 2189 yards from scrimmage and 26 TDs
Shaun Alexander (2005): 1958 yards from scrimmage and 28 TDs
LaDanian Tomlinson (2006): 2323 yards from scrimmage and 31 TDs
Adrian Peterson (2012): 2314 yards from scrimmage and 13 TDs
Yes, projections this early in the season are still somewhat volatile, but the quarter mark of the season is when they start to gain a little bit of credibility.