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Zips Mean Zip

Fangraphs has their ZIPS Projections while Baseball Prospectus has their PECOTA Projections. These are systems that take a player’s past performance and try to project the most likely outcome for the following season. It allegedly looks at all of the numbers, and all the numbers that make up the numbers, and the numbers underlying those numbers, to see which players are more likely to repeat their success and which ones benefited from good fortune. Then they make predictions as to how that player will fare in the coming season.

Dan Szymborski of Fangraphs released a preview of the ZIPS Projections for the Dodgers in 2022 last week in this tweet:

Maybe this is what baseball-starved rabid fans need in the winter and especially in the Winter of MLB Discontent, but I regard the projections about the same as I do a roll of Charmin.