Still early, as the Dodgers would tell you? Or getting late early, as Yogi Berra might have told you?
Hmm. We called David Appelman on Fangraphs and Rob McQuown of Baseball Prospectus, and it turns out each site determines its daily odds similarly. The sites project how well each player will perform and how much he will play, and computers then simulate the rest of the season 10,000 times.
"This far in, it wouldn't change the individual player projections that much," Appelman said. "If you get to August and they're still slightly under .500, it's going to matter a lot more.