Baseball is really the least logical sport out there and is often impossible to predict. Yet, every season, multiple outlets try to do so. The reigning World Series champions have been projected to finish under .500 in most projection systems, so these projection systems should always be met with a bit of skepticism, but once again, a projection system LOVES the Dodgers.
This time, it’s PECOTA. PECOTA, unlike USA Today, who released their own projections yesterday, has at least a little bit of science behind it. They don’t just go with their gut, they try to predict how players will age and progress/regress based on precedents and trends.