The Dodgers have certainly gotten themselves into quite a mess. A short week ago, they had swept the Rockies and moved 2 1/2 games into first place and the division looked like a foregone conclusion — 96.8 percent chance of winning the division, according to FanGraphs.
Now, that percentage is down to basically a coin flip between them and the Rockies — 53.9 percent to 46.1 percent — thanks to losing 2-of-3 to the previously reeling Diamondbacks.
The odds of them capturing the second wild card spot (barf) is 92.5 percent, as the Cardinals sit a game behind the Dodgers at present.