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538 gives Chargers a 17-percent chance to make playoffs

Good morning.

• Jay Boice and Nate Silver of analytics site FiveThirtyEight.com offer this team-by-team forecast and 2016 NFL predictions. The results are not pretty for the Chargers. San Diego is given a 17 percent chance to make the playoffs and a 5 percent chance to win the division.

Coming off a 4-12 season in which they did not win a game in the AFC West, that’s expected.

My take: The Chargers are projected to have a 19-percent chance to win on the road against the Kansas City Chiefs this week.