The numbers suggest UK is probably going bowling this season.
Last May I reviewed two preseason projections for the Kentucky football team. It was focused on Football Outsiders' S&P+ and ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI). Projecting outcomes in football using statistics is notoriously wonky given the reality of a small sample size relative to something like baseball (12 games versus 180 games). Nonetheless, the recent advancements have helped close the gap between a sea of numbers, and comfortably reliable narratives.
I thought it instructive to highlight what S&P+ and FPI are saying about UK this coming season, while reviewing how accurate last season's preseason projections turned out.