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Sagarin Ratings, ESPN BPI give Louisville edge over Kentucky

With Christmas over, it’s time to focus on the Louisville game. Kentucky’s got momentum following the North Carolina win, but how will they handle their first true road game vs. a rival? Let’s consult the Sagarin Predictor Ratings, one of our favorite metrics.

Kentucky’s latest predictor score is 86.78, 23rd in the country, while Louisville’s is 85.65; however, when you factor in the home advantage of 3.20, the Cards have the edge, 88.85 to 86.78. Boooo.

The ESPN Matchup Predictor, based on the BPI rankings, also goes with Louisville 54.4 percent to 45.