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Kentucky's 2-1 Record "Lucky"?

Running the numbers indicates that might be the case, and may also shed light on who is the MVP of this young season.

Last May, I went back and compared UK's ranking in various advanced statistics rankings to see which was the best predictor of UK's 2014 season. The thought being, we'll key-in on the best predictive model from last year to project this year. It projected UK to finish 6-6 in 2015.

Three games into the 2015 season, I wanted to revisit specifically how Pythagorean expectation viewed the season thus far. The sample size is small, but the Pythagorean expectation currently projects UK's win total to be 1.