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ESPN says Stony Brook has a 7.8% chance of upsetting Kentucky

Nervous about tomorrow night’s game? According to ESPN, Stony Brook has a 7.9% chance of upsetting Kentucky, the fourth highest of any Cinderella team in the East Region, qualifying it as a “not completely crazy” bet. Peter Keating and Jordan Brenner write that while Tyler Ulis and Jamal Murray will present major problems to a Stony Brook team that struggled against Vermont’s guards, their inside game may give them a shot.

If Stony Brook is going to buck the odds, it will require a massive effort on the offensive glass. That would appear tough against a Kentucky frontcourt with plenty of size and depth, but UK actually struggles to clean its own glass, allowing foes to rebound 31.