We all want to do well in our bracket pools and look like experts. It’s easy to go chalk and guarantee yourself at least a pretty good showing, but we all know that people who win the pool are the ones who hit on a few big upsets. With that in mind, what should you be looking for in picking an upset, and should KU be worried about any teams in their bracket?
In the KenPom era (since 2002), there have been 116 “big” upsets in the NCAA tournament. For my purposes, “big” tournament upsets are those in which the team that wins was seeded 5 or more lines lower than the “better” seed in any round.