KC Royals: Sam Mellinger Succumbs To Gambler’s Fallacy

The KC Royals have pulled themselves back into contention with their eight-game winning streak. However, Kansas City Star columnist Sam Mellinger threw cold water on their playoff hopes in a piece published Monday. Mellinger’s logic fell prey to a classic mistake: the gambler’s fallacy.

So, just what did Sam Mellinger say that compelled me to write a refutation? Mellinger contended that the 2016 Kansas City Royals would fail to make the playoffs for two basic reasons: 1) that they would have to finish 37-13 and, 2) teams that make the playoffs don’t give away an entire month.

Ok, I can accept that the odds are still stacked against the KC Royals making the 2016 playoffs. They trail three…