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How long will it take to figure out how good the Royals are?

Opening Day and the first weekend of baseball games is over, but baseball has just begun. It’s been half a year since regular season baseball has been played, and since humans love to draw meaning from events regardless if it makes sense to do so or not, it’s a natural response to make predictions about the rest of the year from these few games.

Unfortunately, and frustratingly, the games that have been played tell us essentially nothing about what the rest of the season. Just about anything can happen in a three- or four-game stretch of time. In a 162-game season, we need more information before we can start to accurately evaluate a team.