Maybe the best thing about the world of Minor League Baseball is the randomness of it. No one can accurately predict the future of every single prospect. No one analytic has perfected the art of finding diamonds in the rough. We’ve gotten better as years go on, but there is always a chance for young players that put in the work that is necessary to be a Major League Baseball player.
Perhaps that is why it is so difficult to judge the future value of a guy like Nick Heath. I’m going to give you some raw data and we’ll make some judgments based solely on that data, then we’ll play the same game again with a different set of data.