The Kansas City Chiefs are on a roll and the eggheads over at ESPN’s FiveThirtyEight are taking note.
According to the analytics website, the Chiefs not have a 14% chance to win the Super Bowl. This is a percentage that has been rising throughout KC’s winning streak.
FiveThirtyEight uses something called “Elo” to decide these percentages.
FiveThirtyEight’s 2015 NFL forecast uses an Elo-based model to calculate each team’s chances of advancing to the playoffs and winning Super Bowl 50. Probabilities are based on 20,000 simulations and update after each game.
You can read about how Elo ratings work over at FiveThirtyEight.