Chiefs with a 1-in-4 shot to win the AFC West? That sounds low

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• Adam Teicher, ESPN Staff Writer Close
  • Covered Chiefs for 20 seasons for Kansas City Star
  • Joined ESPN in 2013
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ST. JOSEPH, Mo. -- The good folks at numberfire.com have crunched the figures and came up with this calculation: The Kansas City Chiefs have a 38.4 percent chance of making the playoffs and a 23.