Toughest opposing defenses
The Patrick Mahomes-led Chiefs offense exploded for 66 touchdowns last season, but the combination of history and the league’s toughest fantasy schedule suggest a return to earth is on the horizon. Incredibly, 12 of the Chiefs’ 16 games will be against defenses projected to be better than average. Their toughest showdowns will come against the Bears, Vikings and Jaguars, but life won’t be much easier against the Chargers (twice), Broncos (twice), Titans, Texans, Colts, Patriots and Ravens. A pair of games against the Raiders are the only matchups that stand out as clear upgrades for this offense.