NFL playoff picture: Postseason probabilities entering Week 11 of 2024 season | NFL.com
With two fewer losses than the rest of the AFC field and an easier remaining schedule than any of their closest competitors, the Chiefs are the overwhelming favorites (76%) to capture the conference’s No. 1 seed. But their hold on a first-round bye could loosen quite a bit this weekend, with two massive games on tap. If Kansas City was to lose at Buffalo and Baltimore was to fall in Pittsburgh, the Bills and Steelers would significantly eat into the Chiefs’ margin.