I bet you thought I’d pick David Montgomery against Iowa’s linebackers. Well, as you can see, you are wrong. While the matchup I picked last year – the classic star vs. weakness – tilted Iowa’s direction before a converted quarterback found his way, I’m not so sure an opposing running back could dictate an Iowa win or loss. Could it indicate? Certainly: Iowa loses at a roughly 65% clip (since 2000) when opposing runners get more than 100 yards. But there are worse odds.
However, this is a good team Iowa is facing.