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NFL Draft Day Predictor 2023: Forecasting Round 1, QB picks

Let's predict the 2023 NFL draft, probabilistically. That's the job of ESPN's Draft Day Predictor, our publicly available tool that uses expert mock drafts, Scouts Inc. grades and team needs to forecast pick probabilities for prospects in the upcoming draft. In other words, we can get a better look at when the best players will get picked and the chance they will be available at certain slots.

With just days to go before Roger Goodell reads the first name Thursday (8 p.m. ET on ESPN, ABC and ESPN App), let's break down some key questions about the draft using the Draft Day Predictor.