The 2024 NFL season has produced a different sort of wild-card race in the AFC. In past years, the seven-team playoff has seen races with most of the conference involved until the final weeks of the season. In each of the past four years, on average, 11 of the 16 teams in the AFC had at least a 10% chance of advancing to the postseason as they entered Week 14, per ESPN's Football Power Index (FPI). With four spots going to the division winners, that leaves an average of seven teams with realistic hopes of landing the three wild-card slots.
2024 NFL playoff picture: AFC wild-card bracket race, teams
