Using an advanced metrics-driven computer algorithm as a foundation, I incorporate in-depth research into game theory, efficiency, play-calling success rates and scheme utilization to uncover inefficiencies in the NFL and college football totals market.
Every Friday during the football season for ESPN Chalk, I'll share my top totals bets for the upcoming NFL weekend. I'll offer leans or plays, with the plays being divided based on strength between full recommendations and split recommendations (with split recommendations suggested at half the weight as a full recommendation).
Last season's records:
Full recommendations: 17-6 (74 percent)
Split recommendations: 3-7-2 (30 percent)
Final weighted record: 18.