One system in particular, Baseball Prospectus’ PECOTA, is actually quite high of the Astros this year. In fact, there isn’t a team in the American League projected to finish with a better record than Houston in 2017!
PECOTA currently projects that the Astros will finish with a 94-68 record for the 2017 season. That is not only the best projected record in the American League West, but also the entire American League.