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On the Astros: Why can't the Astros win one-run games?

One of my favorite crazy Astros stats for the past three years has been their record in one-run games. Teams win about half of these games on average. There's some fluctuation year to year, but usually, it's around half. The league average? Half. Duh. Don't you know anything about statistics?

Neither do I. Which is why I can't explain why the Astros haven't come close to winning 50 percent of those games in the past three years. How bad has it been?

In 2013, they won 33 percent of their 54 one-run games. Understandable, right?