Well. This is just. (sigh). The Astros are a 1/2-game back of the Western Louisiana Rangers. FanGraphs gives the Astros a 52.5% chance of winning the division (down from 90.2% on August 27) and an 82% chance of making the postseason. There are 17 games left, five of them are with the Rangers. Now that it matters, the Astros are 1.5 games up on the Twins for the 2nd WC spot.
The Astros are now 19-26 in 1-run games. They are 4-15 in 1-run road games since May 1. They are 4-10 against the Rangers this season.