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Digging Down into the Probabilities of the Houston Astros Earning a Playoff Berth

Let's take a look at the statistical concept underlying the Houston Astros' high chance of earning a playoff berth at this very late stage of the season.

Good morning everybody and happy National Houston Astros Have an Approximately 87.5% Chance of Making the Playoffs Day! Where did I get that number? Only from my brain*, but it's pretty consistent with the numbers being popped about by the algorithms fed into the gizmos created by the sexy, hirsute nerds over at Fangraphs.

Will the Houston Astros make the playoffs? It's an interesting and complex last-day scenario, but also amazingly satisfying given that the Astros' rebuild has worked better than anyone expected, with most baseball fans, including many Astros fans, assuming the team wouldn't have this chance for at least a few more seasons.