Editor’s note: This article was written before Arrighetti’s spectacular one run outing against the Mets last Saturday.
Over the years, I always find the gut reactions to projections to be intriguing. Often, removing the bias and taking a purely statistical approach to trying to predict the future performance of a player. There are things such as injuries that can skew the numbers significantly, but every year projections get better - but still draw the ire of fans when the projections don’t align with their views. With “7” projection systems listed on Fangraphs today, different methodologies are applied, each with their own pros and cons.