Ever since Robert Aguayo, the second-round kicker who was virtually automatic from short range but went five-of-ten on field goals from 40-plus yards out in his senior season at Florida State, I have been looking at kicking prospects and weighting their performance by distance.
In this article, we’re going to look at Anders Carlson, the kicker that the Green Bay Packers drafted in the sixth round of the 2023 draft, presumably to replace current free agent Mason Crosby (more on that later.) The best way to look at college kicking stats, in my opinion, is by weighting for the expected points that a kick should earn a team — based on a sample pool of drafted NFL kickers.