On Monday Pro Football Focus published an article that claimed that only five other coaches, Bill Belichick, John Harbaugh, Andy Reid, Kliff Kingsbury and Pete Carroll, are more valuable to their team than the Green Bay Packers’ Matt LaFleur. The criteria for this study, which is based on data from 2011 to 2021 and attempts to divorce roster talent from results, are as such:
Using this idea in ranking the current NFL head coaches, we try to do two things: 1) properly account for a team’s talent level, and 2) predict something less volatile than wins.