The Patriots haven’t been massive underdogs very often in the Bill Belichick era. In fact, according to ESPN, Sunday is just the fifth time in the last 21 seasons that the Patriots have been underdogs by 10 or more points.
Interestingly, the Patriots are not only 4-1 against the spread in those games, but 4-1 outright. They won four times when Vegas picked them to get blown out.
That’s not as encouraging as it sounds. The one loss came with Brian Hoyer starting a quarterback, back when Cam Newton had COVID-19 in 2020.
Can they do it again?