Draft predictions have become high theater for NFL fans. There are probably over a dozen prognosticators who start putting up mock draft lists before the NFL Combine even takes place, with their final lists being posted on the eve of the draft.
One of the more widely-followed draft experts is NFL Network’s Mike Mayock, so I’ll use him as my example. Mayock annually issues a list of his first-round picks just prior to each year’s draft.
In 2014, of Mayock’s 32 first-round picks, only six were not chosen in the actual first-round, but all six of them were selected by two-thirds of the way through the second round.