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Can the Packers bank on a ‘third-year leap’ from young wide receivers?

Wide receivers making a significant leap in production in their third year is taken as something of a given in Green Bay. Mike McCarthy spoke of it frequently, and it’s easy to see why: improvement from within is a key feature of team building for a franchise that counts on the draft as much as the Packers have.

But does it actually exist? Inspired by Jon Meerdink’s recent article on the Packers’ apparent targeting of high-RAS players, I decided to take a look.

I ran this study based on one simple question: Is there a third-year leap in wide receiver production?