. Based on the opening moneyline, the Packers have a 30 percent chance of pulling the upset against the Philadelphia Eagles (-7) at Lambeau Field. If Green Bay does manage to win, though, their playoff chances will jump from six percent to 16 percent, per FiveThirtyEight’s model. If the Eagles win, the Packers’ postseason projection drops down to just three percent.
While Philadelphia does have the best record in the NFL, they’ve posted a negative point differential over the last two weeks as they’ve lost to the Washington Commanders (-3.5)
and barely snuck by the Indianapolis Colts (-3) with a one-point win on Sunday.